THURSDAY, SEP 10
COL 37% 55-90 3-7 L10 4.1 NYY 63% 83-62 7-3 L10 5.2 
TB 48% 
TB 48% 87-58 6-4 L10 4.3 ATL 52% 85-61 4-6 L10 4.7 
HOU 42% 
HOU 42% 74-72 6-4 L10 4.3 PHI 58% 82-64 6-4 L10 5.4 
TEX 47% 
TEX 47% 72-74 6-4 L10 3.9 SEA 53% 68-78 4-6 L10 4.0 
PIT 57% 
PIT 57% 73-73 8-2 L10 4.5 CWS 43% 75-70 3-7 L10 4.1 PIT 45% 
PIT 45% 73-73 8-2 L10 3.8 CHC 55% 81-66 4-6 L10 4.8 COL 41% 
COL 41% 55-90 3-7 L10 4.0 DET 59% 67-79 4-6 L10 5.2 
LAA 44% 
LAA 44% 56-90 4-6 L10 4.0 WSH 56% 67-81 2-8 L10 4.5 
NYM 52% NYM 52% 68-78 7-3 L10 4.3 NYY 48% 83-62 7-3 L10 4.3 
BAL 48% 
BAL 48% 71-76 3-7 L10 4.9 TOR 52% 73-74 6-4 L10 4.2 
KC 45% 
KC 45% 65-82 3-7 L10 4.6 BOS 55% 80-67 6-4 L10 4.5 HOU 46% HOU 46% 74-72 6-4 L10 4.1 TB 54% 87-58 6-4 L10 4.5 
LAD 61% 
LAD 61% 89-57 8-2 L10 5.0 MIA 39% 72-75 3-7 L10 3.6 PHI 46% PHI 46% 82-64 6-4 L10 3.7 ATL 54% 85-61 4-6 L10 4.2 
CIN 45% 
CIN 45% 69-77 5-5 L10 4.2 MIL 55% 91-56 6-4 L10 4.9 
CLE 53% 
CLE 53% 74-73 5-5 L10 4.8 MIN 47% 69-77 5-5 L10 4.4 CWS 46% 
CWS 46% 75-70 3-7 L10 4.4 STL 54% 72-75 4-6 L10 4.7 SEA 50% 
SEA 50% 68-78 4-6 L10 5.3 OAK 50% 59-88 6-4 L10 6.2 TEX 44% 
TEX 44% 72-74 6-4 L10 4.7 ARI 56% 78-69 5-5 L10 5.1 
SD 54% 
SD 54% 78-68 6-4 L10 4.5 SF 46% 62-85 6-4 L10 4.0 The model's projection for tonight, with the range it lands inside about half the time. Every line assumes the same 23 batters. Over 337 outings graded so far, the strikeout number lands within 1.9 of the real total.
Milwaukee Brewers 1586.8 -6.8 2-3 61.1% Chicago Cubs 1565.6 +2.4 3-2 56.2% Boston Red Sox 1563.4 -10.6 4-1 54.9% New York Yankees 1558 +8.8 3-2 56.6% Los Angeles Dodgers 1557 -0.4 4-1 60.1% Philadelphia Phillies 1553.4 +6.8 2-3 55.9% Atlanta Braves 1543.9 -2.7 3-2 59.4% Tampa Bay Rays 1533.7 -4.7 2-3 59.4% San Diego Padres 1525.1 -8.0 2-3 52.4% Toronto Blue Jays 1519.5 +20.4 4-1 50.0% Chicago White Sox 1511.4 -13.1 2-3 52.4% Arizona Diamondbacks 1508.3 -7.2 3-2 52.8% Houston Astros 1503.4 +12.6 3-2 50.7% Pittsburgh Pirates 1499.2 -0.5 3-2 49.3% Detroit Tigers 1499.2 -12.7 2-3 45.5% Miami Marlins 1497.6 -2.7 2-3 50.0% Baltimore Orioles 1494 -10.3 0-5 47.9% St. Louis Cardinals 1491.9 +3.6 3-2 50.0% Cleveland Guardians 1490.5 -3.2 3-2 50.7% New York Mets 1489.3 -0.3 3-2 45.5% Minnesota Twins 1472.9 +15.8 2-3 47.6% Kansas City Royals 1470.6 -17.8 2-3 44.4% Washington Nationals 1470.2 -5.1 1-4 46.2% Texas Rangers 1468.5 +5.6 2-3 49.3% Seattle Mariners 1461.7 -7.8 2-3 46.5% San Francisco Giants 1459.5 +6.0 2-3 41.0% Cincinnati Reds 1457.9 +9.0 4-1 48.3% Los Angeles Angels 1431.9 +4.5 1-4 37.8% Colorado Rockies 1408.3 +6.9 3-2 38.5% Athletics 1407.2 +11.1 4-1 39.6% The model's Elo rating: a running team-strength number that rises with wins and falls with losses, weighted by opponent quality. Movement is the last 7 days.