# Oddsix — AI-Powered NBA Predictions

> Oddsix uses machine learning trained on 25+ years of NBA data (490+ features) to predict game outcomes, spreads, and player props. Free, no signup required.

## Pages

- [Dashboard](https://oddsix.app/): Live NBA game predictions with win probability, ATS picks, over/under, player props, injury impact, and best bets. Updated daily with pre-tip and in-season data.
- [About](https://oddsix.app/about.html): How Oddsix works — Elo ratings, LightGBM models, feature engineering, calibration methodology, and plain-English game explanations.
- [Track Record](https://oddsix.app/track-record.html): Full model performance history — accuracy by confidence tier, team splits, calibration curves, and prediction log.

## Key Features

- Game outcome predictions with win probability percentages
- Against-the-spread (ATS) picks with confidence tiers
- Over/under totals predictions
- Player prop predictions (points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers)
- Injury-adjusted predictions using WOWY (With Or Without You) analysis
- Head-to-head team matchup history
- Best bets ranked by model confidence
- Plain-English game narratives explaining prediction reasoning

## Technical Details

- Models: LightGBM ensemble (game outcome, margin, ATS, totals)
- Features: 490+ engineered features including Elo, pace, rest days, travel, home/away splits
- Training data: 25+ years of NBA game data
- Update frequency: Daily (5:30 AM full pipeline, 5:30 PM pre-tip update)
- Calibration: Expanding-window cross-validation, Brier score optimized

## Contact

- Website: https://oddsix.app
- GitHub: https://github.com/SpencerGoss/nba-analytics-project